Hector A. Ruiz

I’m going to stop posting about Covid-19, because I want to concentrate on other matters for my blog, however before closing my door on covering the topic, I wanted to provide a follow up on my previous entry.

I had mentioned that I believe the distribution of top cases and highest spreading per capita would change within the next couple of months. As I mentioned, I believe the US will keep leading the table for quite some time, maybe for the entire year. The other four spots most likely will belong to Brazil, India, Russia, South Africa or Bagladesh. My reasoning is simple: third world countries have yet to receive the first substantial bulk of cases that will bring their population into the beginning of an upwards statistical function of pandemics such as Covid-19. Due to their density, several access routes, location and lack of infrastructure to contain the virus, these are the most obvious targets. From there and on, the developed countries may fare better, which means that the rest of the underdeveloped world will be hit hard from those five countries I named. This is, Brazil will impact Argentina, Venezuela, Colombia and Peru; India and Bangladesh with both impact each other and impact Pakistan, Afghanistan and the mid-Asian region; Russia will impact, well, Russia; and South Africa will spread the virus all across Africa. I’ll also throw Mexico in there as well, due to its proximity to the US. That is what I foresee for second half of 2020. Needless to say, unless all those countries implement extreme drastic measures, their populations will face devastating consequences from a social and economic point of view. What may follow after these? Uprisings, political conflicts, protests… pretty much the standard of what history has shown us over the past 4,000 years.

Regarding America, I have to say that people have to start getting off Trump’s back. I may not have voted for him in 2016 and one of the reasons was that I truly believed that his argument of the media being against him was false, but now in 2020 I truly believe that the media is definitely against him. I can concede that perhaps his management of the situation may not have been the best, but to those people who criticize him I ask: “How exactly would have you handled the situation?” Given the amount of opinion makers, variables, economic and social factors, and all the other elements that you have to consider into this equation, I highly doubt there are 1,000,000 humans
out there who could have effectively managed this crisis in a flawless way.

Oh and one more question. To those people who say “How can a pandemic with 1% of death rate shut down the US?”, I ask: “Well, what is the percentage you would like to have in order to shut down the US? Also, given that percentage is greater than 1%, say for instance 25%, don’t you realize that before making it to 25%, you have to go through 1%, 2%, 3%… and so on?”

Anyway, that should be it for Covid-19 updates in my blog for now… at least for some time. I’m going to switch to other topics for the time being.

Stay tuned.

HR

It’s been almost two months since the pandemic was formally here in the US and the consequences have been outright devastating on all fronts. People are impatient, tense, afraid and a large feeling of uncertainty looms over our society. “What does the future hold for us?” Is the question that everyone wants answered.

First of all, I have to start my post by saying the it is almost impossible to predict the future. Everyone had plans for 2020 and I’m quite sure that most of those plans are now non-existent thanks to the pandemic. Who would have guessed that we were going to be in this situation in 2020? Nobody. So, to predict the future having understood there are so many unaccounted variables, is definitely not an easy task at all.

As of today, the United States, Spain, Italy, Germany and the United Kingdom hold the most cases of Covid-19 in the world. I believe that three months from now, this top 5 ranking will drastically change -with the exception of the US-. European countries have been quite strict in their policies to face the spread of the virus, which combined with a robust healthcare system, may result in a successful slow down of the spreading. The US on the other hand, has somewhat of a decent healthcare system, however our policies regarding containment and quarrantine are questionable. I’m not saying they are bad per se, but I believe that because of the way the country functions, it is going to be very challenging to have the same results that Europe may have. This is one of those occasions in which strong leadership is needed, and unfortunately the US is suffering of too many leaders speaking at the same time. One voice speaking loudly and clearly, delivering a straight message is preferred. Personally, I don’t understand what is preventing governors and the federal government from achieving this as a goal. The worst thing is that politics is becoming a key factor of decision and even reasoning and providing judgement to implement a policy, which shouldn’t be the case. I roll my eyes every time I hear any of our leaders cite the constitution or local laws to excuse themselves as to why certain actions are or aren’t implemented.

You see, when our founding fathers created this country in 1776, I hardly believe that they had envisioned any provisions in the constitution, or any implications that derived from any of its articles and amendments on how to deal with the impact of a global pandemic hitting a country that would become 10 times its original size, and have 100 times its original population, which is composed of dozens of ethnic and religious groups, instead of the two, maybe five at most it had in 1776.

In fact, I have absolutely no doubt that as great as our founding fathers were, they never thought about it.

Stay tuned.

HR